conceptual image of money in blue sky with clouds and sun and small particles

How One Company Wants to Make Geoengineering Profitable

In July 2012, a renegade American businessman, Russ George, took a ship off the coast of British Columbia and dumped 100 tons of iron sulfate dust into the Pacific Ocean. He had unilaterally, and some suggest illegally, decided to trigger an algae bloom to absorb some carbon dioxide from the atmosphere โ€” an attempt at geoengineering, a tech-based approach to combating climate change. It was a one-off, the largest known geoengineering experiment at the time, and a harbinger for more to come.

Now a startup called Stardust seeks something more ambitious: developing proprietary geoengineering technology that would help block sun rays from reaching the planet. Stardust formed in 2023 and is based in Israel, but incorporated in the United States.

Its approach is novel: Most geoengineering research today is led by scientists in the U.S. at universities and federal agencies, and the work they are doing is more or less accessible to public scrutiny. Stardust is at the forefront of an alternative path: One in which private companies drive the development, and perhaps deployment, of technologies that experts say could have profound consequences for the planet.

Geoengineering projects, even those led by climate scientists at major universities, have previously drawn the ire of environmentalists and other groups. Such a deliberate transformation of the atmosphere has never been done, and many uncertainties remain. If a geoengineering project went awry, for example, it could contribute to air pollution and ozone loss, or have dramatic effects on weather patterns, such as disrupting monsoons in populous South and East Asia.

But as global temperatures rise, public and scientific sentiments are shifting. If those temperature trends continue, governments or private entities may ultimately use geoengineering to alleviate or avoid the worst impacts of extreme weather, including deadly heat waves, firestorms, and hurricanes. And whoever deploys the technology will need to keep it up for decades while pent-up greenhouse gases gradually dissipate or are removed.

Few outsiders have gotten a glimpse of Stardustโ€™s plans, and the company has not publicly released details about its technology, its business model, or exactly who works at its company. But the company appears to be positioning itself to develop and sell a proprietary geoengineering technology to governments that are considering making modifications to the global climate โ€” acting like a kind of defense contractor for climate alteration.

Stardust is moving ahead amid few national and international rules and oversight, and a recent report by the companyโ€™s former climate governance consultant, Janos Pasztor, called for the company to increase its transparency, engagement, and communication with outsiders. The report provides rare insight into the so-far reticent company. But, so far, Pasztor told Undark, the company has not met all of his requests. Stardust still needs to implement his recommendations, and โ€œbe as transparent as possible, be available proactively to respond to questions people may have, and also to engage with other actors,โ€ he said, because they do not, or not yet, have a โ€œsocial licenseโ€ for geoengineering activities.

Such a deliberate transformation of the atmosphere has never been done, and many uncertainties remain.

The company is led by CEO and cofounder Yanai Yedvab, a former deputy chief scientist at the Israel Atomic Energy Commission, which oversees the countryโ€™s clandestine nuclear program. Through Eli Zupnick, a communications officer hired by the company, Yedvab never accepted Undarkโ€™s many requests for an interview. But in an emailed statement to Undark sent via Zupnick, Yedvab wrote: โ€œStardust is a startup focused on researching and developing technologies that may potentially stop global warming in the short term.โ€ The company, he continued, is โ€œstudying and developing a safe, responsible, and controllable solar radiation modificationโ€ and โ€œour goal is to enable informed and responsible decision making of the international community and governments.โ€

Despite Stardustโ€™s low profile, the company rejects being referred to as โ€œsecretive.โ€ โ€œPublishing all the products of our research without any exception is critical,โ€ Yedvab wrote, adding that the company is โ€œunwaveringly committedโ€ to publishing results โ€œas one of the measures to gain public trust.โ€ Stardust has not published any of its research at this time, but Yedvab stressed they will do so once โ€œscientific validation is concludedโ€ on all of their results.


For decades, researchers have explored a variety of approaches to hacking the climate. Today, the most common approach is a type of solar geoengineering that involves flying high-altitude aircraft or balloons to release reflective particles in the high atmosphere, well above the flight paths of commercial planes. The technique, known as stratospheric aerosol injection, requires deploying tiny, carefully- chosen particles in precise amounts. In order to work well, the particles need to be periodically replenished.

Scientists have accumulated evidence for this approach by studying natural events that have flung small particles into the atmosphere. For instance, after an eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991, sulfur dioxide and hydrogen sulfide hung in the atmosphere and measurably cooled the planet for more than a year.

The 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo, seen from Clark Air Base in the Philippines. Sulfur dioxide and hydrogen sulfide emitted during the eruption measurably cooled the planet for more than a year.

Visual: Richard P. Hoblitt/USGS

Thanks to studies of that volcanic activity, some scientists argue that the environmental risks of deliberately strewing sulfates in the atmosphere are well understood. Although there are potential health risks from the approach, they say, they are small in comparison to the health risks from climate change. โ€œWe know that sulfuric acid air pollution causes mortality, and we roughly know how much. Thereโ€™s more than a century of studies. Weโ€™re very unlikely to be wrong about that,โ€ said David Keith, head of the Climate Systems Engineering initiative at the University of Chicago and an advocate of geoengineering research. In a new study, Keith and his colleagues argue that the health risks of sulfate particulates in the atmosphere are heavily outweighed by the potential impacts of not deploying geoengineering technologies.

Stardust plans a similar approach, but with a proprietary aerosol particle thatโ€™s less well understood, in Keithโ€™s view. The company plans to distribute the particles through a machine mounted on an aircraft, according to Pasztor, a veteran climate diplomat and policy expert at the United Nations and elsewhere. According to Pasztorโ€™s report, which he published on LinkedIn in September 2024, the company is engineering the particle and a prototype of the aircraft mount, as well as developing a system for modeling and monitoring the climatic effects. Over the coming year, Pasztor wrote, the company is planning on advancing those technologies and testing those particles in the stratosphere.

Yedvab confirmed that they are working on the technologies, saying in a statement to Undark that any such experiment would be done in a โ€œcontained, non-dispersive manner,โ€ meaning that its particles would not be strewn over a wide area. It also committed to publishing information about any such outdoor geoengineering tests. Yedvab said that the company has not performed any such outdoor experiments yet, but it has done โ€œa few outdoor aerial checks.โ€ That meant that they have tested their dispersal system โ€œunder flight conditions,โ€ but they havenโ€™t yet scattered their aerosols in the atmosphere.

Those experimental particles do not appear to involve sulfates, meaning there is little data showing how well they might work. โ€œIt might be better in some respects, but on the other hand itโ€™s going to be much harder to be confident about knowing what its risks are,โ€ Keith said.

In his emailed statement, Yedvab confirmed the company is testing non-sulfate particles: โ€œThe ability to tailor particle properties to meet a broad set of requirements โ€” safety, effectiveness, cost, and dispersibility โ€” is a key advantage of our approach, giving it a distinct edge over sulfates and other candidate particles.โ€

 


As Stardust continues its research and development, it has drawn scrutiny, including from Pasztor. After retiring as a veteran climate diplomat, Pasztor agreed to work with Stardust in 2024 as an independent consultant. Rather than keep the remuneration for his work, he instead donated the entirety of it to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees, or UNRWA, he told Undark.

The aim of Pasztorโ€™s project was to highlight the need for clear international rules and oversight for geoengineering. He also wanted to make recommendations for Stardust โ€” and for any other such geoengineering company โ€” about how to ethically develop and deploy its technology.

Right now, there are no international rules or treaties that put obvious limits on this kind of work. As a result, an individual company or government can take dramatic gambles with the climate, in ways that could affect billions of lives, and it doesnโ€™t have to get permission from anyone to do it.

According to Pasztorโ€™s report, there should be rules that allow more people to be involved in that decision before it happens. Failing that, he said, Stardust should voluntarily tell the public what itโ€™s doing and make sure itโ€™s getting input from lots of different groups of people before it tinkers with the planetary thermostat.

โ€œThereโ€™s one big area, transparency and outreach, to engage with the rest of the world, to the extent that the IP process allows,โ€ he told Undark. Building trust through โ€œa strategy of maximum transparencyโ€ should become a priority for them, he recommended in the report.

In September 2024, Stardust’s former climate governance consultant, Janos Pasztor, published his report on the company via LinkedIn. Pasztor’s report, which includes several recommendation sections like the one shown here, calls for the company to increase its transparency, engagement, and communication with outsiders.

Stardust agreed to publish a public website, including providing a copy of Pasztorโ€™s report, and to develop a voluntary code of conduct, he said. That would publicly lay out how they intend to conduct their research and development, including agreeing not to be involved in large-scale implementation, which would instead be under the purview of government agencies. Pasztor expected Stardust to publish this information last September or soon afterward .

For a while, though, no website appeared. โ€œThey were going to publish all of that on their website. Now they are delayed,โ€ he said during a conversation in January. โ€œCome on guys, this is getting embarrassing.โ€

In early February, while Undark was reporting this article, Stardust published a bare-bones website. The site links to Pasztorโ€™s report and lists seven principles, including โ€œprioritizing safety and scientific integrity,โ€ publishing โ€œunfavorable results as well as favorable ones,โ€ and โ€œsupporting comprehensive regulation of this emerging field.โ€

โ€œCome on guys, this is getting embarrassing.โ€

The site doesnโ€™t describe who works for the company, but a statement provided to Undark by Zupnick noted that Stardust has 25 physicists, chemists, and engineers on the team and listed some of the companyโ€™s leadership: Yedvab, the CEO; chief product officer Amyad Spector, a physicist and a former employee of the Israeli governmentโ€™s nuclear research program; and lead scientist Eli Waxman, an astrophysicist at the Weizmann Institute of Science who formerly served as Spectorโ€™s academic supervisor.

Stardust has not yet released a code of conduct, which the company described to Undark as โ€œguiding principlesโ€ that โ€œrepresent a set of voluntary commitments we have adopted in the absence of a dedicated regulatory framework.โ€ In an email sent to Undark by Zupnick, Yedvab stressed that the company complies with all applicable governmental and international regulations.

Some groups, however, like the Center for International Environmental Law, say that Stardustโ€™s efforts could violate the Convention on Biological Diversityโ€™s de facto moratorium on geoengineering activities. โ€œBy developing and planning to commercialize solar geoengineering technology, Stardust is accelerating a reckless race and potentially violating agreements of the Convention on Biological Diversity,โ€ said CIELโ€™s geoengineering campaign manager, Mary Church, in a statement in February. Any deployment of the technology, Church wrote, would likely โ€œbe controlled by a handful of major powers and corporations.โ€


Stardustโ€™s prospective clients seem to be governments: As countries consider geoengineering, Stardust could be poised to sell them tools to meet those goals, several experts said. In an emailed answer to questions about its business model, Yedvab described the companyโ€™s approach as โ€œfounded on the premiseโ€ that solar geoengineering โ€œwill play a critical role in addressing global warming in the coming decades.โ€

The companyโ€™s portfolio of technologies, Yedvab added, โ€œcould be deployed following decisions by the U.S. government and international community.โ€

The company is attempting to patent its geoengineering technology. โ€œWe anticipate that as U.S.-led [geoengineering] research and development programs advance, the value of Stardust’s technological portfolio will grow accordingly,โ€ Yedvab wrote. Pasztorโ€™s report adds that if governments decide not to pursue geoengineering, investors โ€œrisk not โ€‹โ€‹receiving a return on their investment.โ€


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The prospect of proprietary, privately held geoengineering technology worries some experts. Pasztor recommends that Stardust work with its investors to explore ways to give away their intellectual property, akin to how Volvo made its patented three-point seatbelt design freely available to other manufacturers 60 years ago. Alternatively, Stardust could work with governments to purchase the full rights to the IP, who can then make the technology freely available themselves.

In any case, Pasztor argues, Stardust can only proceed in an ethical manner if they do so with full transparency and independent oversight: โ€œThey are operating in a vacuum, in the sense that there is no social license to do what they are trying to do.โ€

Other experts have also questioned Stardustโ€™s conduct so far. When it comes to principles of governance, like transparency and public engagement, โ€œtheyโ€™re not adhering to any of them,โ€ said Shuchi Talati, founder of The Alliance for Just Deliberation on Solar Geoengineering, a Washington D.C.-based nonprofit. โ€œPasztorโ€™s report is the only public thing we know about them,โ€ she added. Stardust did not do any public consultation for its outdoor field tests, nor has it released any data or other information about them, Talati said. And that lack of transparency could come with consequences for the company, she argued, as Stardustโ€™s approach may spark conspiracy theories about what a โ€œsecret Israeli companyโ€ is doing, and down the road, it will be much harder for people to trust Stardust.

โ€œThey are operating in a vacuum, in the sense that there is no social license to do what they are trying to do.โ€

A better approach, Talati argued in a paper published in January, is for Stardust to be communicative and build trust as early as possible, disclosing what itโ€™s doing and with whom itโ€™s engaging. The companyโ€™s funders, she argued, should disclose the scope of the work theyโ€™re funding as well.

People at Friends of the Earth, an environmental group that has long dismissed geoengineering as a โ€œdangerous distraction,โ€ echo Talatiโ€™s concerns and go further with their critiques of Stardust. โ€œI donโ€™t think itโ€™s compatible to have venture capital funding and to be committed to scientific ideals,โ€ said Benjamin Day, FOEโ€™s senior campaigner on geoengineering. The problem, in his view, is that Stardustโ€™s engineers have a vested interest in finding that stratospheric geoengineering can and should be done.

If governments choose to use geoengineering, they may become heavily dependent on Stardust if theyโ€™re ahead of the competition โ€” of which there currently is none, Day said. โ€œThereโ€™s no private market for geoengineering technologies. Theyโ€™re only going to make money if itโ€™s deployed by governments, and at that point theyโ€™re kind of trying to hold governments hostage with technology patents.โ€


If any geoengineering technology goes live, it will affect the whole world. The U.S. federal government is even developing an early warning system that could detect geoengineering in the stratosphere. Furthermore, deploying geoengineering means using and monitoring it for as long as a century, while any abrupt adjustment or end of that deployment could be disruptive, with โ€œtermination shockโ€ triggering dangerous global warming within months.

Geoengineering research has long been entangled with national defense, said Kevin Surprise, a professor of environmental studies at Mount Holyoke College who studies the economics and geopolitics of geoengineering. Some of the first geoengineering papers in the late 1990s came from institutions with Pentagon ties, like Lawrence Livermore National Lab and the Hoover Institution. High-profile geoengineering meetings with the George W. Bush administration and the Council on Foreign Relations, as well as a mention in a Department of Defense report soon followed, and the CIA reportedly funded the first geoengineering report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

Because of the longstanding connections between geoengineering research and development, the military, and Silicon Valley, Surprise argues, Stardust shouldnโ€™t be viewed as a rogue actor. โ€œThis isnโ€™t out of the blue,โ€ he said.

Researcher Duncan McLaren suspects the company is following a standard procurement model of the defense industry, where governments get technology from a few companies that develop it mostly in secret.

In Stardustโ€™s case, theyโ€™ve received an estimated $15 million in venture capital funding, primarily from Awz Ventures, Canadian-Israeli VC firm, in addition to a small investment from SolarEdge, an Israeli energy company. Neither company responded to Undarkโ€™s requests for comment.

Stardust said that it receives no funding from the Israeli Defense Ministry, and made clear to Pasztor that it has no connection to the Israeli government. Awzโ€™s partners and strategic advisers have strong ties to Israeli military and intelligence agencies, including former senior directors of agencies like the Mossad, Shin Bet, and Unit 8200, as well as of the CIA and FBI, according to its website. Awz also invests in AI-based surveillance and security tech in Israel, such as through the company Corsight, which has provided facial recognition tech for Israelโ€™s war in Gaza.

Defense scholars and security experts donโ€™t see geoengineering technology as a potential weapon, but they do view it as something a government might use for its advantage, and as something that would disrupt international relations, said Duncan McLaren, a researcher with the Institute for Responsible Carbon Removal at American University. McLaren suspects the company is following a standard procurement model of the defense industry, where governments get military technology from a few monopolistic companies like Boeing and Lockheed Martin that develop it mostly in secret.

โ€œThat tends to be a space in which public involvement in decisions is utterly sidelined,โ€ McLaren said, and there is โ€œthe potential for this to be a highly undemocratic process of moving us down a slippery slope to solar geoengineering.โ€ If humanity needed this technology, he added, โ€œI definitely want it to be controlled democratically.โ€

Ramin Skibba (@raminskibba) is an astrophysicist turned science writer and freelance journalist who is based in the Bay Area. He has written for WIRED, The Atlantic, Slate, Scientific American, and Nature, among other publications.